Please please please use the attached files for the discussion? using 2 of the weekly class readings (250 words of original c
Please please please use the attached files for the discussion
using 2 of the weekly class readings (250 words of original content). Do not quote the readings, paraphrase and cite them using APA style in text citations. You can only use ONE multimedia source for your minimum 2 sources each week. The readings must be from the current week. The more sources you use, the more convincing your argument. Include a reference list in APA style at the end of your post, does not count towards minimum word content.
Select ONE of the following:
1) Describe 3 issues found in the response (response as in one of the phases of EM we studied in week 2) to the Indian Ocean Tsunami. How can these issues be better managed in future disasters? Propose a solution to each of the 3 issues you discuss. you must have a minimum of 2 readings for this week. (See attached files)
2) Describe the early recovery process after the tsunami: Who? What? When? Identify 3 challenges of this process in a multi country event like the Indian Ocean Tsunami. Discuss possible solutions to such challenges. you must have a minimum of 2 readings for this week. (See attached files)
-
Telford2CJ.2CCosgrave2CJ.2C26Houghton2CR.28200629.JointevaluationoftheinternationalresponsetotheIndianOceantsunami.SynthesisReport..pdf
-
Post-disasterrecoverydilemmas.Challengesinbalancingshort-termandlong-termneedsforvulnerabilityreductionSriLanka.pdf
-
Miller2CM.A.28201029.TheroleofIslamiclaw28sharia29inpost-tsunamireconstruction.Post-disasterreconstruction.LessonsfromAceh2C29-60..pdf
Joint Evaluation2006:1
John Telford
John Cosgrave
Joint Evaluation of the International Response to the Indian Ocean Tsunami Synthesis Report
Joint Evaluation 2006:1
Authors: John Telford, John Cosgrave, contributions from Rachel Houghton.
The views and interpretations expressed in this report are the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Sida, Tsunami Evaluation Coalition (TEC) Actionaid, AusAID, BMZ CIDA, Cordaid, Danida,Dara, Irish Aid, DFID, FAO, IFRD, Federal Min for Economic Cooperation and Development Germany, JICA, Min des Affaires Étrangères France, Min des Affaires Étrangères Luxembourg, Norad, NZAID, DEZA, UN, UNDP, UNFPA, Unicef, Usaid, WFP, WHO, World Vision.
Commissioned by Sida, TEC, Actionaid, BMZ, CIDA, Coraid, Danida, Dara, Irish Aid, DFID, FAO, IFRD Federal Min for Economic Cooperation and Development Germany, JICA, Min des Affaires Étrangères France, Min des Affaires Étrangères Luxembourg, Norad, NZAID, DEZA, UN, UNDP, UNFPA, Unicef, Usaid, WFP, WHO, World Vision.
Copyright: The authors and the organisations commissioning the evaluation.
Date of Final Report: July 2006
Published by: Edita
Art. no. SIDA61330en
This publication was originally published by Tsunami Evaluation Coalition (TEC) and can be ordered from:http://www.alnap.org or [email protected]
This digital edition is a special version only published in Sida’s publication data base and can be downloaded from: www.sida.se /publications.
12
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
Acronyms and abbreviations
ADB Asian Development Bank
ADPC Asian Disaster Preparedness Centre, Thailand
AIDMI All India Disaster Mitigation Institute (formerly DMI)
ALNAP Active Learning Network for Accountability and Performance in
humanitarian action
BAKORNAS National Disaster Management Board, Indonesia
BAPPENAS Badan Perencanaan dan Pembangunan Nasional (Ministry of Planning),
Indonesia
BPDE Badan Pengelola Data Elektronik Electronic Data Management Body
BPS Badan Pusat Statistik BPS-Statistics Indonesia (Central Statistics
Board)
BRIMOB Indonesian paramilitary police
BRR Aceh and Nias Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Agency
CARE Cooperative for Assistance and Relief Everywhere
CBO community based organisation
CDC Centres for Disease Control
CERF Until 2006, the Central Emergency Revolving Fund, now the Central
Emergency Response Fund
CIDA Canadian International Development Agency
CIESIN Centre for International Earth Science Information Network
CM-COORD Civil–military Coordination
CMG Core Management Group of the Tsunami Evaluation Coalition
CRC Canadian Red Cross
CRED Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters
DAC Development Assistance Committee
DAD Development Assistance Database
Danida Danish International Development Assistance
DDPM Department for Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Thailand
DEC Disasters Emergency Committee, UK
DFID UK Department For International Development
13
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
DIPECHO disaster preparedness ECHO
DRC Danish Refugee Council
DRR disaster risk reduction
EAC Evaluation Advisor and Coordinator
EC European Commission
ECHO European Commission’s Humanitarian Office
FAO Food and Agriculture Organisation (of the United Nations)
FTS Financial Tracking System
GAM Gerakan Aceh Merdeka (Free Aceh Movement)
GBP British pounds sterling
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GHD Good Humanitarian Donorship initiative
HC Humanitarian Coordinator
HIC Humanitarian Information Centre
HPG Humanitarian Policy Group at the Overseas Development Institute
HRR Humanitarian Response Review
IASC Interagency Standing Committee
IAWG Interagency Working Group
ICMH International Centre for Migration and Health
ICRC International Committee of the Red Cross
ICVA International Council of Voluntary Agencies
IDP internally displaced person
IDRL international disaster response law
IFI international financial institution
IFRC International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
ILO International Labour Organisation
INGO international non-governmental organisation
IOM International Organisation for Migration
IRCS Iranian Red Crescent Society
ISDR International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
JBIC Japan Bank for International Cooperation
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency
LRRD linking relief, rehabilitation and development
MDG Millennium Development Goals
MDTFANS Multi-Donor Trust Fund for Aceh and Northern Sumatra
MoU Memorandum of Understanding
MSF Médecins sans Frontières (Doctors without Borders)
NDMC National Disaster Management Centre
NGO non-governmental organisation
NRC Norwegian Refugee Council
OCHA Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
ODA official development assistance
OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
PTWC Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
RC Red Cross and Red Crescent (Movement)
RC (UN) Resident Coordinator
RC/HC (UN) Resident Coordinator/Humanitarian Coordinator
RDC Researcher and Deputy Coordinator
SDC Swiss Development Corporation
14
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
Sida Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency
SME small and medium-sized enterprise
TAFREN Presidential Task Force for Rebuilding the Nation (Sri Lanka)
TEC Tsunami Evaluation Coalition
TICA Thai International Cooperation Agency
TLC temporary living centre
TNI Indonesian military (Tentara Nasional Indonesia)
ToR terms of reference
UN United Nations
UNCT UN Country Team
UNDAC UN Disaster Assessment and Coordination
UNDGO UN Development Group Office
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation
UNFPA United Nations Population Fund
UNHAS UN Humanitarian Air Services
UNHCR United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund
UNIFEM UN Development Fund for Women
UNJLC United National Joint Logistics Centre
UNORC United Nations Office of the Recovery Coordinator
USAID United States Agency for International Development
USD United States dollar
WFP World Food Programme
WHO World Health Organisation
15
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
Strait of Malacca
India
Indonesia
Thailand
Malaysia
Myanmar
Kuala Lumpur
Khao Lak
U-tapao
Aceh
Meulaboh Medan
Colombo
Male
Sri Lanka
Maldives
B a y o f B e n g a l A n d a m a n
S e a G u l f o f
T h a i l a n d Nicobar Islands (to India)
Andaman Islands (to India)
Bangkok
I N D I A N O C E A N
Chennai
Map 1. Countries affected by the tsunami
INDIA
BANGLADESH
SRI LANKA
MALAYSIA
MADAGASCAR
SOUTH AFRICA
SEYCHELLES
SOMALIA
KENYA
TANZANIA
YEMEN
MYANMAR (BURMA)
THAILAND
INDONESIA
MALDIVES
I N D I A N O C E A N
Detail above
33
See sources p159.
2.1 Immediate effects of the disaster
At 07.58 Aceh time on 26 December 2004, the biggest earthquake for 40
years struck off the west coast of Northern Sumatra. The earthquake led to
the most destructive series of tsunamis in recorded history, which radiated
through the Indian Ocean at speeds of more than 500km/h. The waves,
while not very big in deep water, slowed down and grew in size as they
reached shallower water near land. In the worst cases the waves reached
over 20m high at landfall in parts of Aceh; in other locations they spread
3km inland, carrying debris and salt water with them. The retreating waters
eroded whole shorelines.
The tsunamis killed people in 14 counties around the Indian Ocean. In
terms of lives lost and people missing, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India and
Thailand were the hardest hit. By the end of January 2005, 40 other
countries had reported that their citizens were among the dead and 12
more reported that their citizens had been in the area and were feared
dead.22 Germany and Sweden were the worst affected counties outside the
region and lost more citizens (over 500 each) than all but the four most
affected counties.
The tsunami gripped the world’s attention, though news of the extent of the
tsunami emerged only slowly (Figure 2.1). The published death toll was
The disaster: an overview
2Chapter two
Country Number lost
Indonesia 167,540
Sri Lanka 35,322
India 16,269
Thailand 8,212
Somalia 289
Maldives 108
Malaysia 75
Myanmar 61
Tanzania 13
Seychelles 2
Bangladesh 2
Yemen 2
South Africa 2
Kenya 1
Total 227,898
Table 2.1. Numbers of
people lost (dead or
missing)21
21 Sources for tables and base data and sources for charts are presented in Annex G. Please refer to the page reference provided at the foot of each table or figure. 22 Table 3.1 gives details of those lost from outside the region. The numbers given in Table 2.1 include tourists from other countries who were killed or went missing in the affected countries.
34
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
See sources p153.
See sources p153.SourcesSourcesSourcesSourcesSources BBC, Channel AsiaNews, Agence France-Press, and The Guardian.
300
200
100
Figure 2.1. Changes in death toll (including missing) over the first month
Thousands dead or missing
0
26 D
ec
2 Ja
n
9 Ja
n
16 Ja
n
23 J
an
30 J
an
Figure 2.2. Age-specific tsunami mortality at five locations
(plus one historic disaster)
SourcesSourcesSourcesSourcesSources Figure 2.2a Doocy et al, 2006 (based on 291 deaths); Figure 2.2b Nishikiori et al, 2006 (based on 456 deaths); Figure 2.2c Birkmann et al, 2006 (based on 94 deaths); Figure 2.2d Guha-Sapir et al, 2006 (based on 231 deaths); Figure 2.2e Maldives Disaster Management Centre and Maldive 2000 Census data (based on 104 deaths); Figure 2.2f Chowdhury et al, 1993 (based on 1,206 deaths).
10%
5%
0%
Figure 2.2b. Ampara (Sri Lanka)
Age (years)
15%
20%
Mortality rate (%)
50+15–490–14
10%
5%
0%
Age (years)
15%
20%
Mortality rate (%)
50+15–490–14
Figure 2.2a. Aceh (Indonesia)
5%
0%
Figure 2.2c. Batticalao (Sri Lanka)
Age (years)
10%
Mortality rate (%)
60+11–590–10
5%
0%
Figure 2.2d. Tamil Nadu (India)
Age (years)
10%
Mortality rate (%)
50+15–490–14
1%
0%
Figure 2.2e. The Maldives
Age (years)Mortality rate (as % of population)
50+15–490–14
2%
10%
5%
0%
Figure 2.2f. Bangladesh storm
surge mortality (Bay of Bengal, 1991)
Age (years)
15%
Mortality rate (%)
50+15–490–14
See sources p152.
35
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
12,000 on 26 December 2004, and it was only on 30 December that it went over
the 100,000 mark. By the end of January 2005 the death toll stood at 286,000 only
to fall back by over 50,000 when Indonesia reduced its estimate for numbers
missing on 7 April.
The raw death toll tells only part of the story. Disproportionate numbers of the
most vulnerable people died. In the Maldives those aged 65 or over, though
comprising only 3.1 per cent of the population, accounted for 17.3 per cent of the
deaths, or five-and-a-half times the proportional level. Elsewhere the tsunami
typically claimed more of the under-15s and the over-50s, although countries
varied as to which of these two groups had the highest mortality rates (Figure 2.2).
More women than men died. This was highlighted early on when Oxfam
announced that, in the villages it had surveyed, there were three times as many
adult male survivors as female ones (Oxfam, 2005a). This was a very small
sample, however, and the ratio may have been due to specific factors in fishing
villages. Figure 2.3 shows the relative risk for females compared with males: a
value of 1 here would indicate equal risk of death for females and males, but the
data show that the relative risk varied from 1.2 (1.2 times as many women died) to
2.1. There were wide variations for individual villages.
The increased risk that flood events like the tsunami pose for children, the elderly
and, in this context, women is highlighted by historical data from the storm surges
in the Bay of Bengal in 1970 (Sommer and Mosley, 1972) and 1991 (Bern et al,
1993; Chowdhury et al, 1993). All of these instances show a realtively low
mortality rate for 15–49-year-olds and increased mortality rates for children and
older people.
The examples also show higher mortality rates for adult females compared with
adult males. The reasons given for the gender and age differences in survival rates
in these disasters are usually related to strength and stamina, and the ability to
swim or climb trees. One study in Tamil Nadu found that women who were able to
swim were more than twice as likely to survive (Guha-Sapir et al, 2006). However,
it is clear that factors such as location also play a role in determining survival.
See sources p154.SourcesSourcesSourcesSourcesSources Various. NoteNoteNoteNoteNote Some data points refer to relative mortality rather than relative risk.
A value of 2 indicates that women were twice as likely as men to be killed by the tsunami
1.0
0.5
0
1.5
2.0
1.0
0.5
0
1.5
2.0
B a n d a
A c e h
B a n d a
A c e h
A c e h
W e s t
C o a s t
A c e h
B a ra
t
M e u la
b o h
A c e h
E a s t
C o a s t
O th
e r
A c e h
A m
p a ra
D is
tr ic
t
G a ll e
B a tt
ic a la
o
T a m
il N
a d u
Figure 2.3. Tsunami mortality risk for females compared with males
36
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
The succession of tsunamis manifested differently in different locations. In Aceh
the tsunamis were walls of mud and debris, but by the time they reached the
Maldives they were more akin to a storm surge with a swell sweeping over the
islands. The ratio of dead to injured varied with location. While the ratio of
tsunami fatalities to injuries in Aceh seems to have been over 6:1,E3 the ratio was
1.53:1 in Sri Lanka (WHO, 2005) and 0.28:1 in Tamil Nadu (Guha-Sapir et al, 2006).
2.2 Media coverage
In late December, many factors combined to make the tsunami a key news story
that generated enormous media coverage: the lack of other news stories; the time
of year; the involvement of Western tourists; the geographical range of the
tsunami; the daily climbing death toll; the availability of dramatic amateur footage
of the waves hitting shore; and the celebrities who perished or survived.E4 The
tsunami was probably the most reported disaster up to that date.23
As shown in Figure 2.4, press coverage of the tsunami in the first six weeks was
more than the combined total coverage for the previous year for 10 key
humanitarian ‘stories’E5 selected by an expert panel (Jones, 2005). The tsunami
dominated the internet as well.24 All of this media attention, together with the time
23 The tsunami occurred prior to Hurricane Katrina, which also generated enormous media coverage. 24 A search for the phrase ‘Indian ocean tsunami’ on 5 April 2006 on Google indicates that there are 1,380,000 documents on the web bearing this phrase. The phrase ‘tsunami disaster’ returns nearly six million hits.
See sources p155.
Infectious disease
Colombia
Nepal
HIV/AIDS
Haiti
Chechnya
DRC conflict
West Africa
Northern Uganda
Sudan War
Tsunami (6 weeks)
0 10 20 30 40
Press citations (thousands) from 200 English language media sources from around the world
Figure 2.4. Tsunami press citations (for 12 months to February 2005)
37
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
See sources p159.NoteNoteNoteNoteNote D&L = damages and losses
Indonesia Sri Lanka India Maldives Thailand
Demographic impact
Population (million) 214.7 19.2 1,064.40 0.293 62
Population loss (incl. missing) 167,540 35,322 16,269 108 8,212
Population loss (incl. missing)
as % of total population 0.077% 0.184% 0.002% 0.037% 0.013%
Population loss in the
most affected province 2.3% 2.7% n/a n/a 1.5%
Economic impact
GDP per capita, US$ 970 950 564 2,440 2,306
Calculated GDP US$billion 208.3 18.2 600.3 0.7 143.0
Total D&L from tsunami, US$m 4,451 1,454 1,224 603 2,198
Total D&L from tsunami, % of GDP 2.0% 7.6% 0.2% 83.6% 1.4%
Most affected province D&L
as % of GDP of that province 97.0% 90.0% 4.0% 8.0%
Pre-disaster GDP growth rate 2005 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 7.5% 6.0%
Revised GDP growth rate 2005 5.2% 5.4% 7.2% -1.7% 5.7%
Damage and losses
Damage, US$m 2,920 1,144 575 450 508
Damage, % of total D&L 65.6% 78.7% 47.0% 74.6% 23.1%
Losses, US$m 1,531 310 649 153 1,690
Losses, % of total D&L 34.4% 21.3% 53.0% 25.4% 76.9%
Losses, % of GDP 0.7% 1.5% 0.1% 21.3% 1.0%
Sectoral % of total damage
Housing 47.9% 36.0% 33.6% 20.9% 4.3%
Physic infrastructure 21.8% 23.9% 13.6% 27.3% 5.3%
Social sectors 9.5% 7.2% 1.9% 7.3% 1.8%
Productive sectors 12.1% 31.8% 46.1% 28.4% 88.6%
Other 8.8% 1.1% 4.9% 16.0% 0.0%
Remittances (for comparison only)
Remittances in US$bn (2004 est.) 4.6 1.3 23.0 1.6
As % of GDP (by calculation) 2.2% 7.1% 3.8% 1.1%
Remittances as % of D&L 103.3% 89.4% 1,879.1% 72.8%
Table 2.2. Demographic and economic impact of the tsunami25
of year, the level of association with those affected and familiarity with some of the
affected countries, prompted an unprecedented flood of both official and private
funding and of material assistance.
25 Please note the comments on the accuracy of this table in the text.
38
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
The coverage in the Western press was not balanced, however. For example, in a
survey of press coverage of humanitarian disasters, CARMA (2006) found that 40
per cent of the tsunami articles that dealt with the impact of the tsunami on people
looked at Western tourists (who accounted for just over 1 per cent of the
casualties). Partly as a result of all this media attention, hundreds of international
humanitarian agencies and military forces from nearby descended on the affected
counties in what some referred to as the ‘second tsunami’ (Brochard, 2005). The
result, as shown by examples throughout this report, was a largely muddled relief
operation in which ‘information circulated badly and coordination at times
appeared non-existent’ (IFRC, 2005b, p81).
The tsunami disaster threatened development. Economic, infrastructural and
human development losses, both actual and projected, were originally estimated at
some US$9.9bn across the affected region. This has to be contrasted with
international funding of at least US$13.5bn (See Section 3.6 below, on funding).
This does not represent 40 per cent over-funding as it may first appear, however,
as the US$13.5bn includes the cost of the international relief effort, some parts of
which were quite expensive (the US military services cost US$0.25bn alone). Also,
the figure for loss and damage does not include costs of transitional shelter or
livelihood support, all of which have to be borne by the response. Some initial cost
estimates (such as for housing) have proved optimistic, and some components of
the response have wasted money.26
Indonesia has borne the brunt of the losses, accounting for almost half of the total.
However, in terms of impact relative to the overall size of the economy the
Maldives was worst affected, with damage and losses equivalent to 83.6 per cent
of GDP (BRR and World Bank, 2005).
Table 2.2 shows both sustained and projected losses in five of the most affected
countries: India, Indonesia, the Maldives, Sri Lanka and Thailand. This table
should be interpreted with caution as it presents initial estimates of loss and
damage. Estimates of GDP growth were later revised and the figures for projected
losses were probably pessimistic. The economic impacts of disasters are dynamic
and complex (Benson and Clay, 2003), and the lumping together of damage (the
capital cost of rebuilding assets) with losses (expected lost income) is
problematic.E6
Despite the magnitude of the economic losses it is noticeable that, except for the
case of the Maldives, the loss and damage from the tsunami is not much more
than the value of remittances in 2004 for Sri Lanka and Thailand, slightly less than
2004 remittances to Indonesia, and only about 6 per cent of remittances for India.
In line with experiences from other disasters, remittance flows can be expected to
increase to the region following the tsunami (World Bank, 2006, p99). The data for
remittances are included in Table 2.2 not to suggest that remittance flows can
replace international assistance, but merely to highlight the relative size of these
flows compared to the tsunami impact.
26 For example, the wholly unsuitable fishing boats supplied by Kuwait via the Kuwaiti Red Crescent Society that were unfit for use in Aceh (Schulze, 2005, pp14–15).
39
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
Economic data need to be considered at the provincial level, and not just at the
national level. Total damage and economic losses in Aceh alone are estimated at
some US$4.5bn – equal to almost the entire GDP of Aceh (BAPPENAS and World
Bank, 2005). The extent of this localised devastation reveals the real magnitude of
the disaster as it has affected local populations.
The overall impact of the tsunami should also be understood in terms of the type
of damage suffered: How many houses were lost? To what extent was the water
supply damaged? What happened in the productive sectors of fishing and
agriculture? Answers to these questions give some indication of the likely time –
and resources – required for recovery.
The sector that experienced most damage in Indonesia has been housing and
human settlements: 141,000 houses were destroyed, which accounts for 47.9 per
cent of the total damage (BRR & World Bank, 2005). Over 600,000 people in Aceh
lost their livelihoods (in some cases for only a few months) including all those in
the fishery sector and 30 per cent of those in agriculture (Government of
Indonesia, 2005). Different countries had different contexts, different economic
histories, and were under different economic stresses at the time of the tsunami.
Fisheries were hardest hit in India, but tourism was the worst affected sector in
Thailand and the Maldives (BRR and World Bank, 2005).E7
The devastation has reached far beyond lives lost and economic damage caused,
however. Disasters are increasingly recognised as having psychological and social
consequences (Mattock, 2005). This will necessarily affect the speed and nature of
the recovery and is proving a challenge to agencies designing livelihoods
programmes. The tsunami has also had an environmental impact. Land has been
contaminated by salt water, forests damaged and ecosystems disturbed.
The affected countries were already dealing with problems such as chronic
poverty, environmental degradation, displacement, poor governance, inequality,
overly bureaucratic administration systems, caste, conflict and weak respect for
human rights. Whole sections of populations were already marginalised, many as
a result of several different causes. It is these poorest groups, including the sick
and the elderly, those in remote locations, migrant workers and the landless – in
some cases all living within armed conflict areas – that have been the hardest hit
by the effects of the tsunami (TEC Capacities Report, 2006).
40 3.1 Pre-disaster risk reduction and early warning
Six months before the 2004 tsunami, the UN’s Intergovernmental
Oceanographic Commission warned that the ‘Indian Ocean has a significant
threat from both local and distant tsunamis’ (Revkin, 2004). Risk reduction
and preparedness prior to a disaster event can reduce fatalities. The Indian
Ocean region is at risk from natural hazards, including tropical cyclones,
tidal surges and earthquakes. Yet little attention was paid to these tsunami
risks as they were not considered to be a major hazard27 – even though
tsunamis killed many in Sumatra and Java following the Krakatoa eruption
in 1883.E8
Unlike the tsunami warning system in the Pacific, set up after a tsunami
killed 159 people in Hawaii in 1946, no tsunami warning system had been
installed in the Indian Ocean.28 And while the Hawaii Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center (PTWC) issued a bulletin to its regular circulation list29 in
the Pacific basin informing that a tsunami watch was advised within 15
minutes of the December 2004 earthquake, it did not warn affected
countries (which were all outside the Pacific Ocean) of the possibility of a
tsunami.
The response
3Chapter three
27 A 2004 publication from ADPC lists Indonesia as facing a low relative intensity of tsunami hazards and does not even include tsunamis in the table of nine hazards in the South East Asia region (Abarquez and Murshed, 2004, p137). 28 An interim tsunami warning system for the Indian Ocean is expected to be operational by the end of July 2006. 29 Anyone can join the circulation list by submitting their email address via a link on the PTWC site: www.prh.noaa.gov/ptwc.
41
Tsunami Evaluation Coalition: Synthesis Report
Despite the absence of a formal system, some life-saving warnings were
given – mostly by ordinary people. Traditional knowledge helped to save
tribes on India’s Andaman and Nicobar Islands from the worst of the
tsunami (Bhaumik, 2005). Phonecalls to family members in India advised
them to evacuate (IFRC, 2005b, p16) and a 10-year-old British tourist
recognised the signs of a tsunami from her geography class. This led to
more than 100 people evacuating a beach and hotel (BBC, 2005a).
There were reports that a warning to the mainland from the Indian military
in the Nicobar and Andaman Islands went unheeded. Apparently, the
Indian meteorological service sent a warning fax to a former minister of
science rather than the incumbent (Singh, 2004). In Thailand, the head of
the Meteorological Service was sacked because he had decided not to issue
a warning (Associated Press, 2005; Watts, 2005).
These warnings were far from generalised, however. While parts of
Indonesia were struck within 20 minutes, Thai officials discussed the
earthquake and tsunami risk an hour before the waves struck but decided
against causing a panic (Financial Times, 2005). It was more than an hour-
and-a-half before Sri Lanka was hit, ample time for a warning to circulate. In
the Maldives, 108 people were killed when the tsunami struck three hours
after the earthquake. Wider knowledge of the nature of tsunamis, the ability
to swim,E9 or simple systems for communicating warnings could have saved
many lives. Media organisations could, for example, have issued warnings for
India and Sri Lanka had they been better educated about the phenomenon.
Better construction would also have saved lives and property lost due to
both the tsunamis and the earthquake.30 Better disaster preparedness would
Box 3.1. The nature of disasters
Disasters can be defined as: ‘A serious disruption of the functioning of society, causing widespread human,
material or environmental losses which exceed the ability of affected society to cope using only its own resources’
(DHA, 1992, p27). The ability or capacity to cope is a key aspect of impact and response to a disaster, and the
assistance provided by national or international responses is intended to alleviate this shortfall in capacity.
Clearly a society (which can be a community, a province or a whole country) with greater capacity to cope with
the impact of any disaster event is less vulnerable to the effects of that disaster. Some disasters exceed the local
capacity but fall within the national capacity and need no international assistance.
There is a significant difference in the pattern of need for external assistance between the cases of sudden-onset
and slow-onset disasters (Figure 3.1).
Rapid-onset disasters, like the tsunami, have a very
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