Enron

For the Enron case below, respond to the following questions. This summary of your responses should be a total of 2-5 pages in (APA format) double-spaced, single-sided, Times New Roman Font, 12 pitch, 1 inch margins, with no grammar or spelling errors; APA includes a reference page at the end.  The reference pages will not be counted in the 3-5 pages. You should have at least 2 references your book along with at least 1 other reference. You must cite your references.

In 2000, Enron enjoyed remarkable success in the capital markets. During that year, Enrons shares increased in value by 89%, while the S&P 500 index fell by 9%. At the end of 2000, Enrons shares were trading at roughly $83 per share, and all of the sell-side analysts following Enron recommended the shares as a buy or a strong buy. With 752.2 million shares outstanding, Enron had a market capitalization of $62,530 million and was one of the largest firms (in terms of market capital) in the United States. At year-end 2000, Enrons book value of common shareholders equity was $11,470 million. At year-end 2000, Enron posted earnings per share of $1.19. Among sell-side analysts following Enron, the consensus forecast for earnings per share was $1.31 per share for 2001 and $1.44 per share for 2002, with 10% earnings growth expected from 2003 to 2005. At the time, Enron was paying dividends equivalent to roughly 40% of earnings and was expected to maintain that payout policy. At year-end 2000, Enron had a market beta of 1.7. The risk-free rate of return was 4.3%, and the market risk premium was 5.0%. (Note: The data provided in this problem, and the inferences you draw from them, do not depend on foresight of Enrons declaring bankruptcy by the end of 2001.)

Required

         Use the CAPM to compute the required rate of return on common equity capital for Enron.

         Use year-end 2000 data to compute the following ratios for Enron:

o   (1)Market-to-book

o   (2)Price-earnings (using 2000 earnings per share)

o   (3)Forward price-earnings (using consensus forecast earnings per share for 2001)

         Reverse engineer Enrons $83 share price to solve for the implied expected return on Enron shares at year-end 2000. Do the reverse engineering under the following assumptions:

o   (1)Enrons market price equals value.

o   (2)The consensus analysts earnings-per-share forecasts through 2005 are reliable proxies for market expectations.

o   (3)Enron will maintain a 40% dividend payout rate.

o   (4)Beyond 2005, Enrons long-run earnings growth rate will be 3.0%.

         What do these analyses suggest about investing in Enrons shares at a price of $83?

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