How might criminological theory and risk prediction accuracy improve by incorporating theory more systematically into risk prediction efforts?

How might criminological theory and risk prediction accuracy improve by incorporating theory more systematically into risk prediction efforts?

Readings

• Desmarais, S. L., Johnson, K. L., & Singh, J. P. (2016). Performance of recidivism risk assessment instruments in US correctional settings. Psychological Services, 13(3), 206.

• Duwe, G., & Kim, K. (2016). Sacrificing accuracy for transparency in recidivism risk assessment: The impact of classification method on predictive performance. Corrections, 1(3), 155-176.

• Olson, D. E., Stalans, L. J., & Escobar, G. (2016). Comparing male and female prison releasees across risk factors and postprison recidivism. Women & Criminal Justice, 26(2), 122-144.

• Skeem, J. L., & Lowenkamp, C. T. (2016). Risk, race, and recidivism: Predictive bias and disparate impact. Criminology, 54(4), 680-712.

• Ttofi, M. M., Farrington, D. P., Piquero, A. R., & DeLisi, M. (2016). Protective factors against offending and violence: Results from prospective longitudinal studies. Journal of Criminal Justice, 45, 1-3.

Make answer 300 words and end with a question to peers.

Discussion Question:

Discuss whether the following outcomes are likely to be monetary or nonmonetary. Would your evaluation be a cost-benefit or a cost-effectiveness study?

1 Increased staff motivation in a correctional setting.

2 Reduced alcohol and drug use among inmates.

3 Reduced anxiety for police officers.

4 Improved court participant satisfaction.

Reading

1 Practical Program Evaluation for Criminal Justice. Vito & Higgins (2014). Chapter 7

2 Lawson, T., Rogerson, R., & Barnacle, M. (2018). A comparison between the cost effectiveness of CCTV and improved street lighting as a means of crime reduction. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 68, 17-25.

3 Irwin, A., Jozaghi, E., Bluthenthal, R. N., & Kral, A. H. (2017). A cost-benefit analysis of a potential supervised injection facility in San Francisco, California, USA. Journal of Drug Issues, 47(2), 164-184.

4 Reynolds, A. J., Temple, J. A., White, B. A., Ou, S. R., & Robertson, D. L. (2011). Age 26 cost–benefit analysis of the child‐parent center early education program. Child development, 82(1), 379-404.

Make answer 300 words and end with a question to peers.

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