After viewing the video in Module #3, Time Series Forecasting: Introduction,? you should be able to complete a spreadsheet that is similar to the example used by Mr. Macarty in the video
After viewing the video in Module #3, “Time Series Forecasting: Introduction,” you should be able to complete a spreadsheet that is similar to the example used by Mr. Macarty in the video. As part of this assignment, you will find an Excel file for you to complete. You should be able to complete all of the cells that are not locked (i.e., all of the cells highlighted in yellow in the diagram below.
DataSet
2022 Avocado Price and Sales Forecasting | |||||||||||||||||
2022 Dates | Weekly Avg. Avocado Price 2022 | Weekly Avg. Avocado Price 5-Week Moving Avg Forecast | Weekly Avg. Avocado Price 5-Week Forecast Errors | Weekly Avocados Sold 2022 | Weekly Avocados Sold 5-Week Moving Avg Forecast | Weekly Avocados Sold 5-Week Forecast Errors | |||||||||||
Region | Week # | Date | Conventional | Organic | Conventional Forecast | Organic Forecast | Conventional MAPE | Organic MAPE | Conventional | Organic | Conventional Forecast | Organic Forecast | Conventional MAPE | Organic MAPE | |||
Nashville | 1 | 12/26/21 | 0.98 | 1.42 | 101% | 107% | 185,316 | 5,741 | 102.33% | 120% | |||||||
Nashville | 2 | 1/2/22 | 0.90 | 1.53 | 212,752 | 4,746 | |||||||||||
Nashville | 3 | 1/9/22 | 0.95 | 1.51 | 181,360 | 5,750 | |||||||||||
Nashville | 4 | 1/16/22 | 0.87 | 1.37 | 167,159 | 6,554 | Create graph of 2022 weekly avocado prices for conventional and organic avocados here | ||||||||||
Nashville | 5 | 1/23/22 | 0.95 | 1.39 | 173,689 | 5,767 | |||||||||||
Nashville | 6 | 1/30/22 | 0.77 | 1.40 | 0.93 | 1.44 | 121% | 103% | 268,608 | 5,805 | 184055.20 | 5711.60 | 68.52% | 98% | |||
Nashville | 7 | 2/6/22 | 0.88 | 1.42 | 0.89 | 1.44 | 101% | 101% | 203,205 | 5,590 | 200713.60 | 5724.40 | 98.77% | 102% | |||
Nashville | 8 | 2/13/22 | 0.94 | 1.49 | 0.88 | 1.42 | 94% | 95% | 182,025 | 4,856 | 198804.20 | 5893.20 | 109.22% | 121% | |||
Nashville | 9 | 2/20/22 | 0.88 | 1.53 | 0.88 | 1.41 | 100% | 92% | 190,263 | 5,288 | 198937.20 | 5714.40 | 104.56% | 108% | |||
Nashville | 10 | 2/27/22 | 0.97 | 1.32 | 0.88 | 1.45 | 91% | 110% | 159,755 | 11,949 | 203558.00 | 5461.20 | 127.42% | 46% | |||
Nashville | 11 | 3/6/22 | 0.87 | 1.32 | 0.89 | 1.43 | 102% | 108% | 188,478 | 12,819 | 200771.20 | 6697.60 | 106.52% | 52% | |||
Nashville | 12 | 3/13/22 | 0.93 | 1.53 | 0.91 | 1.42 | 98% | 93% | 179,305 | 6,926 | 184745.20 | 8100.40 | 103.03% | 117% | |||
Nashville | 13 | 3/20/22 | 0.93 | 1.46 | 0.92 | 1.44 | 99% | 98% | 171,568 | 7,913 | 179965.20 | 8367.60 | 104.89% | 106% | |||
Nashville | 14 | 3/27/22 | 0.95 | 1.59 | 0.92 | 1.43 | 96% | 90% | 165,587 | 6,681 | 177873.80 | 8979.00 | 107.42% | 134% | |||
Nashville | 15 | 4/3/22 | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 1.44 | 113% | 170% | 206,829 | 30,449 | 172938.60 | 9257.60 | 83.61% | 30% | |||
Nashville | 16 | 4/10/22 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 100% | 157% | 178,369 | 28,242 | 182353.40 | 12957.60 | 102.23% | 46% | |||
Nashville | 17 | 4/17/22 | 0.81 | 1.18 | 0.91 | 1.26 | 112% | 107% | 233,759 | 11,773 | 180331.60 | 16042.20 | 77.14% | 136% | |||
Nashville | 18 | 4/24/22 | 0.81 | 1.45 | 0.88 | 1.19 | 109% | 82% | 237,679 | 8,547 | 191222.40 | 17011.60 | 80.45% | 199% | |||
Nashville | 19 | 5/1/22 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 98% | 126% | 212,720 | 16,049 | 204444.60 | 17138.40 | 96.11% | 107% | |||
Nashville | 20 | 5/8/22 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 0.84 | 1.06 | 104% | 84% | 219,615 | 14,199 | 213871.20 | 19012.00 | 97.38% | 134% | |||
Nashville | 21 | 5/15/22 | 0.92 | 1.16 | 0.84 | 1.14 | 92% | 98% | 204,128 | 11,734 | 216428.40 | 15762.00 | 106.03% | 134% | |||
Nashville | 22 | 5/22/22 | 0.87 | 1.16 | 0.85 | 1.20 | 97% | 103% | 238,624 | 11,609 | 221580.20 | 12460.40 | 92.86% | 107% | |||
Nashville | 23 | 5/29/22 | 0.88 | 1.08 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 98% | 111% | 223,368 | 13,135 | 222553.20 | 12427.60 | 99.64% | 95% | |||
Nashville | 24 | 6/5/22 | 0.97 | 1.31 | 0.87 | 1.12 | 90% | 85% | 190,921 | 11,428 | 219691.00 | 13345.20 | 115.07% | 117% | |||
Nashville | 25 | 6/12/22 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 1.19 | 100% | 139% | 232,084 | 14,368 | 215331.20 | 12421.00 | 92.78% | 86% | Create graph of 2022 weekly avocado prices and sales for conventional avocados here | ||
Nashville | 26 | 6/19/22 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 0.91 | 1.11 | 92% | 94% | 195,471 | 9,785 | 217825.00 | 12454.80 | 111.44% | 127% | |||
Nashville | 27 | 6/26/22 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 1.12 | 106% | 126% | 250,902 | 15,605 | 216093.60 | 12065.00 | 86.13% | 77% | |||
Nashville | 28 | 7/3/22 | 1.00 | 1.35 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 92% | 79% | 198,240 | 10,013 | 218549.20 | 12864.20 | 110.24% | 128% | |||
Nashville | 29 | 7/10/22 | 1.07 | 1.20 | 0.94 | 1.12 | 88% | 93% | 196,773 | 11,534 | 213523.60 | 12239.80 | 108.51% | 106% | |||
Nashville | 30 | 7/17/22 | 1.07 | 1.77 | 0.96 | 1.10 | 90% | 62% | 191,727 | 7,162 | 214694.00 | 12261.00 | 111.98% | 171% | |||
Nashville | 31 | 7/24/22 | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.00 | 1.28 | 91% | 115% | 186,520 | 12,337 | 206622.60 | 10819.80 | 110.78% | 88% | |||
Nashville | 32 | 7/31/22 | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.02 | 1.26 | 91% | 106% | 188,016 | 13,685 | 204832.40 | 11330.20 | 108.94% | 83% | |||
Nashville | 33 | 8/7/22 | 1.06 | 1.48 | 1.07 | 1.32 | 101% | 89% | 202,833 | 9,978 | 192255.20 | 10946.20 | 94.78% | 110% | |||
Nashville | 34 | 8/14/22 | 1.09 | 1.48 | 1.08 | 1.35 | 99% | 91% | 184,733 | 9,322 | 193173.80 | 10939.20 | 104.57% | 117% | |||
Nashville | 35 | 8/21/22 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 1.09 | 1.41 | 100% | 108% | 172,757 | 9,481 | 190765.80 | 10496.80 | 110.42% | 111% | |||
Nashville | 36 | 8/28/22 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 1.09 | 1.31 | 150% | 141% | 292,902 | 16,110 | 186971.80 | 10960.60 | 63.83% | 68% | |||
Nashville | 37 | 9/4/22 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.02 | 1.28 | 136% | 137% | 250,165 | 14,786 | 208248.20 | 11715.20 | 83.24% | 79% | |||
Nashville | 38 | 9/11/22 | 1.01 | 1.50 | 0.94 | 1.22 | 93% | 82% | 191,359 | 6,309 | 220678.00 | 11935.40 | 115.32% | 189% | |||
Nashville | 39 | 9/18/22 | 1.16 | 1.72 | 0.93 | 1.23 | 81% | 71% | 174,768 | 4,411 | 218383.20 | 11201.60 | 124.96% | 254% | |||
Nashville | 40 | 9/25/22 | 1.15 | 1.74 | 0.95 | 1.28 | 82% | 73% | 172,755 | 4,636 | 216390.20 | 10219.40 | 125.26% | 220% | |||
Nashville | 41 | 10/2/22 | 1.20 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 1.36 | 80% | 201% | 156,477 | 16,638 | 216389.80 | 9250.40 | 138.29% | 56% | |||
Nashville | 42 | 10/9/22 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.31 | 99% | 125% | 177,609 | 8,007 | 189104.80 | 9356.00 | 106.47% | 117% | |||
Nashville | 43 | 10/16/22 | 1.19 | 0.82 | 1.12 | 1.34 | 94% | 163% | 163,017 | 13,219 | 174593.60 | 8000.20 | 107.10% | 61% | |||
Nashville | 44 | 10/23/22 | 1.18 | 1.68 | 1.15 | 1.20 | 98% | 72% | 151,715 | 6,293 | 168925.20 | 9382.20 | 111.34% | 149% | |||
Nashville | 45 | 10/30/22 | 1.31 | 0.88 | 1.16 | 1.19 | 88% | 136% | 146,936 | 14,545 | 164314.60 | 9758.60 | 111.83% | 67% | |||
Nashville | 46 | 11/6/22 | 1.39 | 0.98 | 1.19 | 1.02 | 85% | 104% | 141,387 | 11,863 | 159150.80 | 11740.40 | 112.56% | 99% | Create graph of 2022 weekly avocado prices and sales for organic avocados here | ||
Nashville | 47 | 11/13/22 | 1.33 | 0.80 | 1.23 | 1.08 | 92% | 135% | 131,605 | 14,848 | 156132.80 | 10785.40 | 118.64% | 73% | |||
Nashville | 48 | 11/20/22 |