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March 26, 2023

Competencies In this project, you will demonstrate your mastery of the following competencies: Apply statistical techniques to address research problems Perform regression

Mathematics / Statistics

Competencies

In this project, you will demonstrate your mastery of the following competencies:

  • Apply statistical techniques to address research problems
  • Perform regression analysis to address an authentic problem

Overview

The purpose of this project is to have you complete all of the steps of a real-world linear regression research project starting with developing a research question, then completing a comprehensive statistical analysis, and ending with summarizing your research conclusions.

Scenario

You have been hired by the D. M. Pan National Real Estate Company to develop a model to predict housing prices for homes sold in 2019. The CEO of D. M. Pan wants to use this information to help their real estate agents better determine the use of square footage as a benchmark for listing prices on homes. Your task is to provide a report predicting the housing prices based square footage. To complete this task, use the provided real estate data set for all U.S. home sales as well as national descriptive statistics and graphs provided.

Directions

Using the Project One Template located in the What to Submit section, generate a report including your tables and graphs to determine if the square footage of a house is a good indicator for what the listing price should be. Reference the National Statistics and Graphs document for national comparisons and the Real Estate Data Spreadsheet spreadsheet (both found in the Supporting Materials section) for your statistical analysis.

Note: Present your data in a clearly labeled table and using clearly labeled graphs.

Specifically, include the following in your report:

Introduction

  1. Describe the report: Give a brief description of the purpose of your report.
    1. Define the question your report is trying to answer.
    2. Explain when using linear regression is most appropriate.
      1. When using linear regression, what would you expect the scatterplot to look like?
    3. Explain the difference between predictor (x) and response (y) variables in a linear regression to justify the selection of variables.     

Data Collection

  1. Sampling the data: Select a random sample of 50 houses. Describe how you obtained your sample data (provide Excel formulas as appropriate).
    1. Identify your predictor and response variables.
  2. Scatterplot: Create a scatterplot of your predictor and response variables to ensure they are appropriate for developing a linear model.

Data Analysis

  1. Histogram: Create a histogram for each of the two variables.
  2. Summary statistics: For your two variables, create a table to show the mean, median, and standard deviation.
  3. Interpret the graphs and statistics:
    1. Based on your graphs and sample statistics, interpret the center, spread, shape, and any unusual characteristic (outliers, gaps, etc.) for house sales and square footage. 
    2. Compare and contrast the center, shape, spread, and any unusual characteristic for your sample of house sales with the national population (under Supporting Materials, see the National Summary Statistics and Graphs House Listing Price by Region PDF). Determine whether your sample is representative of national housing market sales.

Develop Your Regression Model

  1. Scatterplot: Provide a scatterplot of the variables with a line of best fit and regression equation.
    1. Based on your scatterplot, explain if a regression model is appropriate.
  2. Discuss associations: Based on the scatterplot, discuss the association (direction, strength, form) in the context of your model.
    1. Identify any possible outliers or influential points and discuss their effect on the correlation.
    2. Discuss keeping or removing outlier data points and what impact your decision would have on your model.
  3. Calculate r: Calculate the correlation coefficient (r).
    1. Explain how the r value you calculated supports what you noticed in your scatterplot.

Determine the Line of Best Fit. Clearly define your variables. Find and interpret the regression equation. Assess the strength of the model.

  1. Regression equation: Write the regression equation (i.e., line of best fit) and clearly define your variables.
  2. Interpret regression equation: Interpret the slope and intercept in context. For example, answer the questions: what does the slope represent in this situation? What does the intercept represent? Revisit the Scenario above.
  3. Strength of the equation: Provide and interpret R-squared.
    1. Determine the strength of the linear regression equation you developed.
  4. Use regression equation to make predictions: Use your regression equation to predict how much you should list your home for based on the assumed square footage of your home at 1500 square feet.

Conclusions

  1. Summarize findings: In one paragraph, summarize your findings in clear and concise plain language for the CEO to understand. Summarize your results.
    1. Did you see the results you expected, or was anything different from your expectations or experiences?
    2. What changes could support different results, or help to solve a different problem?
    3. Provide at least one question that would be interesting for follow-up research.

You can use the following tutorial that is specifically about this assignment. Make sure to check the assignment prompt for specific numbers used for national statistics. The videos may use different national statistics. You should use the national statistics posted with this assignment.

  • MAT-240 Module 4 Project One Video

What to Submit

To complete this project, you must submit the following:

Project One Template Word Document (ATTCH1) : Use this template to structure your report, and submit the finished version as a Word document.

Supporting Materials

The following resources may help support your work on the project:

Document: National Summary Statistics and Graphs Real Estate Data PDF
Use this data for input in your project report.

https://learn.snhu.edu/content/enforced/1261476-MAT-240-J4761-OL-TRAD-UG.23EW4/course_documents/National%20Summary%20Statistics%20and%20Graphs%20Real%20Estate%20Data.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=eVEAb6ZbGVumhw71U8gqkHM0k&ou=1261476

Spreadsheet: Real Estate Data Spreadsheet (ATTCH3)
Use this data for input in your project report.

Tutorial: Downloading Office 365 Programs PDF
Use this tutorial for support with Office 365 programs.

Use these tutorials for support with the Excel functions you will use in the project:

  • Tutorial: Random Sampling in Excel PDF – ATTCH4

https://learn.snhu.edu/content/enforced/1261476-MAT-240-J4761-OL-TRAD-UG.23EW4/course_documents/MAT%20240%20Random%20Sampling%20in%20Excel%20Tutorial.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=eVEAb6ZbGVumhw71U8gqkHM0k&ou=1261476

  • Tutorial: Scatterplots in Excel PDF 

https://learn.snhu.edu/content/enforced/1261476-MAT-240-J4761-OL-TRAD-UG.23EW4/course_documents/MAT%20240%20Scatterplots%20in%20Excel%20Tutorial.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=eVEAb6ZbGVumhw71U8gqkHM0k&ou=1261476

  • Tutorial: Descriptive Statistics in Excel PDF 

https://learn.snhu.edu/content/enforced/1261476-MAT-240-J4761-OL-TRAD-UG.23EW4/course_documents/MAT%20240%20Descriptive%20Statistics%20in%20Excel%20Tutorial.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=eVEAb6ZbGVumhw71U8gqkHM0k&ou=1261476

  • Tutorial: Creating Histograms in Excel PDF 

https://learn.snhu.edu/content/enforced/1261476-MAT-240J4761OLTRADUG.23EW4/course_documents/MAT%20240%20Creating%20Histograms%20in%20Excel.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=eVEAb6ZbGVumhw71U8gqkHM0k&ou=1261476

  • attachment

    ATTCH3.xlsx

  • attachment

    ATTCH1.docx

project 1 data

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Real Estate County Data for 2019
2019 Data (n=1000)
Region State County listing price $'s per square foot square feet
East North Central in grant 219,500 $116 1,898
East North Central il vermilion 254,500 $156 1,632
East North Central in henry 235,000 $148 1,588
East North Central in wayne 203,800 $141 1,441
East North Central il coles 220,800 $117 1,893
East North Central il macoupin 197,600 $111 1,783
East North Central in vigo 165,800 $122 1,362
East North Central oh jefferson 246,500 $136 1,814
East North Central il jackson 154,300 $105 1,463
East North Central oh marion 149,700 $116 1,296
East North Central mi bay 145,100 $117 1,239
East North Central il whiteside 283,700 $136 2,087
East North Central oh trumbull 243,000 $133 1,827
East North Central in madison 229,100 $187 1,224
East North Central il knox 205,100 $118 1,740
East North Central il stephenson 235,600 $140 1,682
East North Central il macon 212,900 $128 1,659
East North Central in delaware 221,600 $134 1,651
East North Central il henry 257,700 $123 2,087
East North Central oh seneca 211,900 $168 1,263
East North Central oh darke 160,800 $114 1,416
East North Central oh scioto 204,200 $131 1,562
East North Central oh belmont 172,500 $101 1,710
East North Central oh sandusky 253,900 $146 1,738
East North Central il rock island 166,300 $127 1,305
East North Central oh clark 240,500 $137 1,752
East North Central oh columbiana 241,400 $164 1,469
East North Central in howard 304,300 $152 1,996
East North Central oh richland 248,900 $132 1,880
East North Central il peoria 187,900 $131 1,434
East North Central il la salle 311,100 $154 2,015
East North Central il madison 254,500 $156 1,628
East North Central mi wayne 213,800 $172 1,243
East North Central in vanderburgh 214,100 $134 1,596
East North Central oh mahoning 207,500 $123 1,688
East North Central il williamson 171,600 $141 1,218
East North Central il winnebago 236,700 $140 1,692
East North Central il adams 266,100 $166 1,599
East North Central mi saginaw 171,800 $118 1,452
East North Central oh montgomery 225,300 $151 1,493
East North Central oh allen 227,600 $147 1,550
East North Central oh lucas 228,300 $115 1,978
East North Central oh ashtabula 177,000 $107 1,658
East North Central oh lawrence 248,300 $156 1,587
East North Central oh huron 199,700 $147 1,359
East North Central il tazewell 278,700 $165 1,693
East North Central oh summit 185,800 $101 1,847
East North Central il sangamon 213,500 $130 1,643
East North Central oh ashland 188,000 $151 1,246
East North Central oh tuscarawas 270,700 $149 1,815
East North Central oh ross 257,200 $127 2,018
East North Central mi shiawassee 192,400 $129 1,494
East North Central mi calhoun 266,200 $130 2,042
East North Central il kankakee 148,700 $115 1,293
East North Central in lawrence 270,600 $137 1,978
East North Central wi manitowoc 181,400 $140 1,294
East North Central il st. clair 201,400 $164 1,225
East North Central mi ingham 222,500 $125 1,777
East North Central il mclean 203,800 $134 1,526
East North Central mi jackson 139,200 $116 1,201
East North Central mi isabella 163,000 $125 1,307
East North Central wi wood 266,500 $144 1,853
East North Central mi montcalm 218,300 $105 2,081
East North Central wi grant 243,200 $121 2,014
East North Central oh cuyahoga 265,100 $136 1,947
East North Central oh stark 201,000 $163 1,230
East North Central oh athens 246,400 $158 1,560
East North Central wi milwaukee 184,900 $111 1,666
East North Central mi lenawee 191,500 $118 1,628
East North Central wi fond du lac 135,300 $103 1,312
East North Central in st. joseph 193,000 $111 1,736
East North Central mi ionia 193,600 $137 1,416
East North Central mi genesee 194,800 $166 1,173
East North Central oh muskingum 188,300 $94 1,999
East North Central il ogle 236,600 $208 1,138
East North Central oh washington 324,400 $156 2,081
East North Central oh wayne 256,700 $129 1,986
East North Central mi muskegon 230,400 $131 1,757
East North Central oh pickaway 265,700 $143 1,853
East North Central mi st. joseph 188,500 $135 1,397
East North Central il champaign 246,700 $121 2,031
East North Central oh knox 192,200 $127 1,510
East North Central oh lorain 226,200 $126 1,789
East North Central wi calumet 226,400 $111 2,033
East North Central mi midland 174,500 $151 1,157
East North Central mi marquette 172,500 $120 1,433
East North Central in elkhart 202,300 $182 1,113
East North Central mi monroe 228,600 $136 1,679
East North Central oh lake 225,900 $135 1,676
East North Central mi eaton 189,900 $96 1,976
East North Central wi douglas 461,400 $129 3,581
East North Central wi marathon 431,200 $119 3,638
East North Central il dekalb 347,500 $97 3,574
East North Central in marion 323,300 $95 3,408
East North Central in allen 398,000 $113 3,525
East North Central oh hancock 380,300 $94 4,028
East North Central in lake 470,600 $109 4,316
East North Central wi portage 531,000 $109 4,888
East North Central wi rock 513,100 $104 4,950
East North Central oh greene 581,800 $113 5,146
West South Central ar baxter 286,900 $132 2,176
West South Central ar benton 232,900 $138 1,690
West South Central ar craighead 251,100 $110 2,285
West South Central ar crawford 172,900 $100 1,734
West South Central ar crittenden 298,800 $155 1,928