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January 27, 2022

A finance manager employed by an automobile dealership believes that the number of cars sold in his local market can be predicted by the interest rate charged for a loan

General Questions

A finance manager employed by an automobile dealership believes that the number of cars sold in his local market can be predicted by the interest rate charged for a loan.

Interest Rate (%) Number of Cars Sold (100s)

3 10

5 7

6 5

8 2

The finance manager performed a regression analysis of the number of cars sold and interest rates using the sample of data above. Shown below is a portion of the regression output.

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.998868

R2 0.997738

Coefficient

Intercept 14.88462

Interest Rate -1.61538

Are there factors other than interest rate charged for a loan that the finance manager should consider in predicting future car sales?

Is interest rate charged for a loan the most important factor to be considered in predicting future car sales? Explain your reasoning.The dealership’s vice-president of marketing has requested a sales forecast at the prevailing interest rate of 7%.

As finance manager, what reasons would you convey to the vice-president in recommending this forecasting model?

Is the prediction of car sales at 7% a reflection of the current downturn in the economy? How might this impact the dealership’s business?

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